jetcloud

Black Dog

2011-12-26T23:31:00.000-08:00

Stuff

2011-11-05T19:27:00.000-07:00

Berk

2011-11-04T20:03:00.000-07:00

mAD cLIPPER

2011-10-28T23:57:00.001-07:00

Posted via email from jetcloud's posterous

Home...

2011-10-27T16:39:00.000-07:00

New Biking Trail 5th-10th

2011-10-25T18:02:00.000-07:00

clouds and Stuff

2011-10-17T20:18:00.000-07:00

Labradoodle

2011-10-14T19:12:00.000-07:00

Lush Garden

2011-10-09T17:08:00.000-07:00

Dogs

2011-10-02T21:16:00.000-07:00

2011-09-27T22:11:00.000-07:00

Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News: Breaking News --NEOs Close Approach Prompts Green Meteor Alert

2011-09-20T20:09:00.000-07:00

Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News: Breaking News --NEOs Close Approach Prompts Green Meteor Alert

mmmm

2011-09-20T18:29:00.000-07:00

Raskal

2011-09-14T20:40:00.000-07:00

Dogs

2011-06-16T20:06:00.000-07:00

2011-06-01T22:01:00.000-07:00

Odds

2011-05-02T21:04:00.000-07:00

dogs

2011-05-01T13:16:00.001-07:00

2011-04-23T16:36:00.000-07:00

2008

2011-03-22T18:19:00.000-07:00

Bark

2011-03-19T23:55:00.000-07:00

Bark

2011-01-08T19:33:00.000-08:00

Garden 'trails

2010-11-19T19:09:00.000-08:00

2010-11-08T23:55:00.000-08:00

Ewok

2010-10-21T16:36:00.000-07:00

Bobby

2010-10-02T09:45:00.000-07:00

Bobby Mosaic

2010-07-30T20:11:00.000-07:00

Bobby Cat

2010-07-30T19:36:00.000-07:00

Bobby mosaic

2010-07-30T17:40:00.000-07:00

Dog On A Bike

2010-07-27T01:11:00.000-07:00

Dog Howling and Dog Barking

2010-07-15T02:16:00.000-07:00

Lounging scare-crow

2010-07-14T01:06:00.000-07:00

2010-06-27T21:47:00.000-07:00

Streetside Eatables

2010-06-22T21:23:00.001-07:00

Contrail'd Sky

2010-06-19T00:32:00.000-07:00

Unique computer model used to predict active 2010 hurricane season

2010-06-14T22:14:00.001-07:00

ScienceDaily (June 2, 2010) — Florida State University scientists who have developed a unique computer model with a knack for predicting hurricanes with unprecedented accuracy are forecasting an unusually active season this year.

See Also:

Earth & Climate

Severe Weather

Hurricanes and Cyclones

Weather

Computers & Math

Computer Modeling

Mathematical Modeling

Mathematics

Reference

National Hurricane Center

List of major natural disasters in the United States

Hurricane Opal

Great Hurricane of 1780

Associate Scholar Scientist Tim LaRow and his colleagues at FSU's Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) say there will be an average of 17 named storms with 10 of those storms developing into hurricanes in the Atlantic this season, which begins June 1, and runs through Nov. 30. The historical seasonal average is 11 tropical storms with six of them becoming hurricanes.

"It looks like it will be a very busy season, and it only takes one hurricane making landfall to have devastating effects," LaRow said. "The predicted high number of tropical systems means there is an increased chance that the eastern United States or Gulf Coast will see a landfall this year."

The COAPS model, unveiled just last year, is one of only a handful of numerical models in the world being used to study seasonal hurricane activity, and it has already outperformed many other models. The model uses the university's high-performance computer to synthesize massive amounts of information including atmospheric, ocean and land data. A key component of the COAPS model is the use of predicted sea surface temperatures.

The 2009 forecast, the model's first, was on target: It predicted a below-average season, with a mean of eight named storms with four of them developing into hurricanes. There were nine named storms with three that became hurricanes.

The model's 2009 forecast, plus its hindcasts of the previous 14 hurricane seasons -- that's when the data that existed prior to each season is plugged into the model to reforecast the season and then compared to what actually occurred -- really show the model's precision. From 1995 to 2009, the model predicted a mean of 13.7 named storms of which a mean of 7.8 were hurricanes. In reality, the average during this period was 13.8 named storms with a mean of 7.9 hurricanes.

How the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico will affect the development of tropical storms this year is a question that scientists are still trying to figure out, LaRow said. The oil on the ocean surface can diminish the amount of surface evaporation, which would lead to local increased ocean temperatures near the surface, but LaRow said he's made no adjustments to the model to account for the oil that continues to gush from an underwater well.

"The oil spill will probably have little influence on the hurricane season, but we don't know for sure since this spill is unprecedented," he said. "It's uncertain how exactly the atmospheric and oceanic conditions might change if the spill continues to grow."

COAPS researchers spent about five years developing and assessing the numerical model before putting it to the test with its first real-time forecast last year. Numerical models require major computing resources in order to make trillions of calculations using the equations of motion along with the best physical understanding of the atmosphere. By contrast, statistical models, such as the one that produces Colorado State University's annual forecast, use statistical relationships between oceanic and atmospheric variables to make a forecast.

COAPS received a $6.2 million, five-year grant from NOAA in 2006 that has been used, in part, to support the development of the model.

Story Source:

The above story is reprinted (with editorial adaptations by ScienceDaily staff) from materials provided by Florida State University, via EurekAlert!, a service of AAAS.

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

via sciencedaily.com

Posted via web from jetcloud's posterous

2010-05-11T01:47:00.001-07:00

2010-05-11T01:39:00.000-07:00

Full Flight Data for 2005/05/05

2010-03-11T17:26:00.005-08:00

Full Flight Data for 2005/05/05

Contrail Layer	Date	Time	Flight	Dept.	Dest.	Plane Type	Speed (mph)	Latitude	Longitude	Altitude (m)	Pressure	Temp (C)	Dewpt (C)	RELH (%)	MIXR	TCRIT	Distance (km)
Yes	05/05/2005	02:18:04	CON432	SCC	ANC	B732	420	64.9833	-149.767	8229.6	333.3	-48.9	-54.3	54.1	0.08	-47.18	91.7
Yes	05/05/2005	14:33:22	UAL800	RJAA	JFK	B772	530	64.2833	-147.417	10668.	229.1	-59.7	-65.3	47.9	0.03	-51.19	66.9
Yes	05/05/2005	15:38:22	CON171	ANC	SCC	B732	440	64.8667	-149.083	9753.6	265.7	-57.4	-61.5	60.	0.04	-49.04	58.3
Yes	05/05/2005	18:22:23	CON172	SCC	ANC	B732	410	64.9199	-149.71	10058.4	253.9	-59.	-63.8	54.7	0.03	-49.81	88.2
Yes	05/05/2005	20:27:26	ASA55	ANC	SCC	B73Q	430	64.8859	-148.977	10363.2	242.5	-59.6	-65.3	48.	0.02	-50.64	53.4
Yes	05/05/2005	20:57:25	CON351	ANC	SCC	B732	460	64.8833	-149.533	9753.6	267.4	-57.4	-62.1	55.5	0.03	-49.26	79.6
Yes	05/05/2005	22:48:27	ASA54	SCC	ANC	B73Q	380	64.9167	-149.683	10058.4	255.4	-58.6	-64.1	49.7	0.02	-50.05	86.9
Yes	05/05/2005	23:30:27	CON471	ANC	SCC	B732	450	64.8833	-149.267	9753.6	268.2	-57.4	-62.3	53.4	0.03	-49.36	67.

Posted using ShareThis

2010-03-09T02:42:00.000-08:00

Killpatric & 6th

2010-03-07T00:24:00.000-08:00

Cheery Tree

2010-03-07T00:18:00.000-08:00

Under-bridge

2010-03-07T00:11:00.000-08:00

Bobby

2010-02-28T22:11:00.000-08:00

Tan

2010-02-28T22:07:00.000-08:00

2010-02-25T22:33:00.000-08:00

Blotanical Blogroll

2010-02-24T20:00:00.001-08:00

Here's all the links

Comox Glacier

2010-02-23T20:06:00.001-08:00

Home

2010-02-21T12:10:00.002-08:00

View Larger Map

2010-02-20T22:04:00.000-08:00

Gabriel

2010-02-20T14:21:00.000-08:00

Clouds Over Courtenay

2010-02-19T00:46:00.002-08:00

See and download the full gallery on posterous

Posted via email from jetcloud's posterous

My First Blog Post

2010-02-18T18:57:00.001-08:00

Replace the subject line and body with your first blog post and hit send! Include pictures, an mp3, or anything else you want to share. It's just that simple.

See and download the full gallery on posterous

Posted via email from jetcloud's posterous

Fur

2010-02-14T00:43:00.001-08:00

Tan

2010-02-14T00:40:00.000-08:00

Contrail clouds

2010-01-28T19:14:00.002-08:00

Razkal

2010-01-14T22:33:00.000-08:00

First flakes

2009-12-10T22:18:00.000-08:00

Bobby

2009-12-08T00:40:00.000-08:00

Contrails

2009-11-14T03:45:00.000-08:00

Ceder Stump

2009-10-08T21:57:00.000-07:00

Over the Studio

2009-10-05T23:38:00.000-07:00

Full Moon

2009-08-14T20:12:00.001-07:00

With contrail

Belle

2009-08-10T19:40:00.001-07:00

Click here--->>>.....

2009-07-06T18:10:00.000-07:00

Moon Over Comox

2009-06-20T12:34:00.000-07:00

2009-06-10T00:15:00.001-07:00

Garden Art

Contrail Over Courtenay

2009-05-30T22:56:00.001-07:00

Norwiegen Forest Cat

2009-03-26T00:12:00.002-07:00

Home - 2008

2009-03-22T05:25:00.001-07:00

Overhead today

2009-02-20T16:33:00.000-08:00

2009-02-19T00:33:00.001-08:00

Bobby

Binning

2009-01-14T20:34:00.000-08:00

Snow Bob

2009-01-10T22:04:00.000-08:00

Contrails over Courtenay

2009-01-08T17:33:00.002-08:00

Crows

2008-12-10T20:28:00.001-08:00

Gull

2008-12-08T21:47:00.001-08:00

Inside - Outside

2008-12-02T18:10:00.001-08:00

Trails

2008-11-24T18:53:00.001-08:00

After - before (Eureka Clubhouse)

2008-11-22T09:14:00.002-08:00

BobCat

2008-11-21T15:26:00.001-08:00

Garden Gimmie-gammie

2008-11-08T14:01:00.001-08:00

planting-garlic

2008-11-08T10:49:00.001-08:00

keith planting garlic at 719

keith is going to look after the garden while i'm in van over the next few months - what a relief, i've been wanting to plant the garlic for a couple of weeks now.

http://ernyak.blogspot.com/2008/11/keith-planting-garlic-at-719.html

COTTONWOOD

2008-11-04T19:45:00.001-08:00

Now

Before

StreamDrag - hear your favorite music

2008-11-02T02:37:00.000-08:00

Brad sucks - Making me nervous

Brad Sucks: Fixing My Brain

Brad Sucks - Borderline

Brad Sucks - Dirt Bag (Psycraft Rmx)

Brad Sucks: Certain Death (demo)

Fixing My Brain by Brad Sucks

Brad Sucks - Look and Feel Years Younger (Live)

Brad Sucks - Making Me Paranoid

Madonna vs. Justin vs. Black Eyed Peas vs. Brad Sucks MashUp

Brad Sucks Live /Bruce Spence On Drums

Brad Sucks Fake It Cliche Video Entry

Makin' Me Nervous - Brad Sucks + Lyrics

Faked Video for Fake It by Brad Sucks

Sims Version of Bad Attraction by Brad Sucks

Brad Sucks Live

Brad Sucks - Overreacting (Deep Immunosupression Mix)

"Bad Sign" - Brad Sucks

Brad Sucks - Borderline

Brad Sucks practice

Brad Sucks - Fake it, with lyrics!

Brad Sucks - Dirtbag - Psy Craft

Brad Sucks - Thanks for the Add

Brad Sucks - Look and Feel Years Younger(Lyrics)

Barack Obama ft Brad Sucks - Work Out Fine

Dirtbag (anesthetic mix) - Brad Sucks

Brad Sucks: Fixing My Brain

Brad Sucks Making Me Nervous (Dublsate Mix)

Bad Sign by Brad Sucks Guitar Lesson/Tab

Brad sucks-Understood by your dad

Brad Sucks @ Extreme Sport PL

Brad Sucks - You're not going anywhere

Brad Sucks - Borderline (Lyrics)

Brad sucks-Dropping Out Of School

Brad Sucks Fake It Cliche Video 2

Brad Sucks - Dirtbag (Lyrics)

Brad Sucks - Dirtbag

Brad Sucks @ Riverpalooza 06

Brad Sucks - Making Me Nervous (remix)

Brad Sucks & Bardot rocks

Brad Sucks - Bad Attraction (Lyrics)

Brad Sucks Borderline 8 Bit Remix

Brad Sucks - Making Me Nervous(Lyrics)

Brad Sucks Borderline

Sucky Brad Sucks lipsync video

Brad Sucks - Total Breakdown

Athene Pwn Music

I Think I Started a Trend (music + cartoon story)

Brad Sucks Album

Brad Sucks Fake It Video 3

StreamDrag - hear your favorite music

Bob Cat

2008-10-30T23:51:00.002-07:00

2008-10-28T18:43:00.001-07:00

2008-10-28T16:44:00.002-07:00

Comox Valley

Bobcat

2008-10-24T05:26:00.001-07:00

Everbearing

2008-10-23T21:29:00.001-07:00

Gimmy-gammy

2008-10-21T18:47:00.001-07:00

Club Garden and Wood Recycle

2008-10-20T16:29:00.001-07:00

October Backyard

2008-10-17T20:31:00.001-07:00

2008-07-20T12:55:00.000-07:00

drajala.blogspot.com

FEED - July 2008

2008-07-08T16:02:00.001-07:00

Sensible alternatives to pharma food crops

"Biotech drugs can be very beneficial, but when they are produced in genetically engineered food crops grown outdoors, the risk of contaminating the food supply is too great. The Union of Concerned Scientists has unveiled a new online slideshow featuring safer alternatives. The innovative companies and researchers we profile are developing needed drugs while keeping them off the public's dinner plates, using engineered carrot cells, duckweed plants, fungi, and greenhouse-grown tobacco. The existence of these safer alternatives adds credence to our call for the U.S. Department of Agriculture to ban outdoor pharma food crop production in the new rules the agency is expected to release this summer. View the slideshow here�and visit our Protect Our Food campaign to learn more about taking the harm out of pharma crops!" - ucsusa.org

North Pole could be ice free in 2008

2008-04-25T19:13:00.002-07:00

clipped from environment.newscientist.com

You know when climate change is biting hard when instead of a vast expanse of snow the North Pole is a vast expanse of water. This year, for the first time, Arctic scientists are preparing for that possibility.

"The set-up for this summer is disturbing," says Mark Serreze, of the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). A number of factors have this year led to most of the Arctic ice being thin and vulnerable as it enters its summer melting season.

In September 2007, Arctic sea ice reached a record low, opening up the fabled North-West passage that runs from Greenland to Alaska.

"There is this thin first-year ice even at the North Pole at the moment," says Serreze. "This raises the spectre – the possibility that you could become ice free at the North Pole this year."

More Contrails

2008-04-08T23:38:00.002-07:00

"March winds bring April jet contrails crisscrossing the sky, say meteorologists who have figured out where, when and why the sun-blocking, regionally climate-warming outbreaks happen across the United States.

By studying years of satellite views of contrail outbreaks and sorting out the conditions and the locales where they are most likely, the rhyme and reason of the human-made, high-altitude cirrus clouds are beginning to come into focus.

One of the least surprising discoveries is that the outbreaks tend to favor places with lots of air travel. But that alone does not explain why some days there are no contrails and on others, particularly days in April and October, the skies can be infested with the white lines."

clipped from dsc.discovery.com

March winds bring April jet contrails crisscrossing the sky, say meteorologists who have figured out where, when and why the sun-blocking, regionally climate-warming outbreaks happen across the United States.

By studying years of satellite views of contrail outbreaks and sorting out the conditions and the locales where they are most likely, the rhyme and reason of the human-made, high-altitude cirrus clouds are beginning to come into focus.

One of the least surprising discoveries is that the outbreaks tend to favor places with lots of air travel. But that alone does not explain why some days there are no contrails and on others, particularly days in April and October, the skies can be infested with the white lines.

April Skies

clipped from dsc.discovery.com

"They tend to heat the upper troposphere more than they warm the surface," explained Patrick Minnis of NASA's Langley Research Center. "The debate now is whether the warming is larger than the albedo."

contrail forecasting tool

Wired News - AP News

2008-03-22T21:02:00.000-07:00

Wired News - AP News:
"The Air Force wants to build at its Malmstrom base in central Montana the first piece of what it hopes will be a nationwide network of facilities that would convert domestic coal into cleaner-burning synthetic fuel.

Air Force officials said the plants could help neutralize a national security threat by tapping into the country's abundant coal reserves. And by offering itself as a partner in the Malmstrom plant, the Air Force hopes to prod Wall Street investors - nervous over coal's role in climate change - to sink money into similar plants nationwide.

'We're going to be burning fossil fuels for a long time, and there's three times as much coal in the ground as there are oil reserves,' said Air Force Assistant Secretary William Anderson. 'Guess what? We're going to burn coal.'"

moon bead

2008-01-22T00:11:00.000-08:00

Photos taken Jan 21, 2008

moon walk

2008-01-21T23:55:00.000-08:00